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如火如荼的地方棋牌,大厂垄断地方棋牌了吗?

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作者:lihuihuang110

“荣耀给予王者,利润归于棋牌”,万家灯火下男女老少把玩着的棋牌游戏见证了上一年棋牌游戏的热门及疯狂程度。2018,转瞬而过的是17年地方棋牌盛景,不变的是源远流长的棋牌文化,如火如荼的地方棋牌,你真的认识吗?

一.地方棋牌为什么能发展如此迅捷,红遍大江南北?

1.移动网络促进“万物互联”:手机网民占比达97.5%,全国人民手机的普及化

截至2017年12月,我国手机网民规模达7.53亿,网民中使用手机上网人群的占比由2016年的95.1%提升至97.5%;与此同时,使用电视上网的网民比例也提高3.2个百分点,达28.2%;台式电脑、笔记本电脑、平板电脑的使用率均出现下降,手机不断挤占其他个人上网设备的使用。以手机为中心的智能设备,成为“万物互联”的基础。手机的普及化促进“线上棋牌室”一体化,构筑随时随地,朋友间娱乐的熟人社交应用场景。移动互联网服务场景不断丰富、移动终端规模加速提升、移动数据量持续扩大,为棋牌游戏行业创造更多价值挖掘空间

手机用户数量大规模增长

2.行业巨头促进“万物互联”:移动支付的野蛮生长,使用场景不断深入

我国移动支付用户规模持续扩大,用户使用习惯进一步巩固,网民在线下消费使用手机网上支付比例由2016年底的50.3%提升至65.5%,线下支付加速向农村地区网民渗透,农村地区网民使用线下支付的比例已由2016年底的31.7%提升至47.1%

3.网络娱乐多元化促进“万物互联”:网络娱乐用户规模持续高速增长,进入全面繁荣期

2017年网络娱乐类应用用户规模均保持了高速增长,强烈的市场需求、政策的鼓励引导、企业的资源支持共同推动网络文化娱乐产业进入全面繁荣期。网络娱乐应用中,中国手游app市场渗透率达76.1%,用户规模为7.76亿,其中扑克棋牌类手游渗透率达22.9%。与此同时,网络文化娱乐内容进一步规范,以网络游戏和网络视频为代表的网络娱乐行业营收进一步提升

4.农村交通便捷化促进“万物互联”:“出行难”问题得到有效解决

5年间(2013-2018年),全国新建改建乡镇农村公路127.5万公里,99.24%的乡镇和98.34%的建制村通上了沥青路、水泥路,乡镇和建制村通客车率分别达到99.1%和96.5%以上,城乡运输一体化水平接近80%,农村“出行难”问题得到有效解决,交通扶贫精准化水平不断提高,地方棋牌的推广也加速向乡镇农村地区网民渗透

小结:一方面,人民处于新世纪,智能科技的普及化,移动支付的猛力推进,线上娱乐场景的构建,以及交通的便捷化,生活水平日益步入小康。另一方面,“微信身份登录”正在重构熟人社交,地方棋牌由于熟人社交圈的重构而获得了异军突起的机会。经济以及科技上的巨大发展为三四线人们的娱乐生活多元化为地方棋牌吹响了前进的号角

二.大厂垄断地方棋牌了吗?

腾讯基于QQ和微信庞大的用户基础,使得《欢乐斗地主》等棋牌游戏在棋牌市场“遇神杀神”,而唯一能与一家独大的腾讯棋牌游戏抗衡的就是地方性棋牌游戏了。在去年的棋牌市场迎来大爆发,特别是地方棋牌领域,出现大量的资本和创业者的涌入

大厂商为何未能垄断地方棋牌市场

1.地方棋牌的独特性:国民游戏,不同地域用户需求差异巨大

大厂虽然触手遍地,但还没有到一手遮天的地步,很多领域对于大厂来说,自己既够不到,也做不好,甚至只能占个后手,也有一些领域大厂暂时还处于选择性搁置的状态。近一段时间内,迅速崛起的地方棋牌产业便是其中之一。棋牌属于国民游戏,徜若进入三四线城市,不同地域的用户对棋牌的需求差异巨大,各地均有自己地方特色的麻将规则,当地棋牌厂商更容易掌握地方市场规律,大厂的触手很难渗透。地方棋牌值得成为被长期挖掘的品类。总的来说,换个角度来看地方棋牌的市场竞争情况,我们依然能发觉不少空间,值得去进行深度挖掘及尝试

2.地方棋牌的强数据:爆款频出,投资收购案层出不穷

近几年,地方棋牌行业爆款频出:同城游,边锋,闲来,皮皮,兴动,明星,哈灵,友间,百搭,一花,波克,大唐,多乐,吉祥,微乐,JJ,力港,微屏,旺旺,小吆,乐享,亲友,朋友局,唐人游,星悦,麻友圈,佛手,白金岛,奕乐玩呗,闲云阁,龙宇,老友,筑志,至尊,娱网,闲逸,闪闪,花色,风雷….个别地方大佬与资本巨鳄联姻,强强联手。更多的棋牌大佬则在地方如鱼得水,闷声发财。以浙江一个县级市地区而论,头部产品能达到400万的月流水之巨

3.地方棋牌的地域性:利润巨大的地方棋牌,未来不存在空白地区当下的地方棋牌情况。是谁最先占领某地区的市场,谁运营得好,那么他就是这个地区棋牌的利益获得者。

以行业著名的闲来互娱为例,在地方棋牌游戏市场激烈竞争下,2017年的闲徕仍维持行业领军者地位,预计今年利润贡献约为4亿元。闲徕互娱日活为400万左右,在房卡模式为特征的地方棋牌游戏,市场占率约为30%,除个别项目由于地方棋牌市场竞争激烈,单月净利润略有下降外,闲徕互娱下半年月均净利润高于7000万。棋牌市场空前广阔,高回报率,吸引了很多具有前瞻目光的资本大鳄还是中小投资者都纷纷入驻棋牌游戏,棋牌游戏出现盛景

小结:巨头暂时无法垄断的地方性棋牌市场,红海的来临也越来越快,这是无法改变的趋势,但棋牌游戏的进步和变革并不会因此被简单地困住。处于飞速发展升级节点的地方棋牌,无论是2D变3D模式上的升级,以及大厅和竞技模式的普及化等,都会带来无法预期的变化

三.悠远历史的是赌还是棋牌?

1.棋牌游戏的发展史:悠远历史,明朝到如今

明朝中兴、满清入关、鸦片战争、满清倒台、军阀混战、第一次世界大战、第二次世界大战、新中国成立、改革开放、电子游戏诞生、电脑普及、网络时代、移动时代……棋牌以万变应万变的姿态,顺应着时代变迁。

2.地方棋牌的娱乐场景:家庭化,碎片化,竞技化,赌博化

①家长里短性质,使用传统麻将或自动化麻将机的人际牌局

②日常可以随玩随弃,打法碎片时间为主的休闲牌局

③在线下或通过互联网,进行正式比赛,争夺奖金和排名的牌局

3.地方棋牌的原罪:赌性和贪婪

棋牌游戏的回合制和博弈机制刺激人性赌性和贪婪。而互联网、尤其是移动互联网棋牌游戏正是将这种赌性和贪婪完全释放出来并持续扩大。

小结:试想一下,如果从明天开始棋牌就没了,我们可以玩哪些替代品呢?

文章略有删减,由读者投稿,有兴趣共同讨论棋牌的小伙伴,可加作者微信:lihuihuang110,一起探讨

付费点登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述,互联网棋牌有风险,投资需谨慎!
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